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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+1.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+0.61vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.38+0.95vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.04-1.31vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.59-1.25vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.62-2.36vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.38-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.61Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.95Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.69Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 23.9% | 23.5% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Emma Snead | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| George Higham | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
| Anthony Root | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 22.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 11.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Joey Lark | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.4% |
| Francis Selldorff | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 17.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.