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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Luke Ingalls 28.0% 21.3% 16.4% 13.9% 9.1% 5.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Rebecca Read 9.3% 12.3% 13.8% 14.7% 11.9% 11.3% 11.3% 9.9% 5.5%
Joey Lark 6.1% 7.2% 8.4% 10.5% 10.3% 11.9% 14.5% 15.6% 15.5%
George Higham 11.8% 13.5% 12.6% 12.8% 13.0% 11.7% 10.0% 8.3% 6.3%
Emma Snead 13.0% 15.2% 13.8% 11.4% 11.0% 10.6% 9.5% 8.6% 6.9%
Libby Redmond 11.4% 11.6% 12.5% 13.0% 13.6% 11.7% 10.9% 9.0% 6.3%
Francis Selldorff 7.5% 6.6% 9.8% 8.0% 11.7% 13.7% 14.1% 14.8% 13.8%
Anthony Root 7.0% 5.4% 7.3% 7.3% 9.7% 11.7% 13.4% 15.9% 22.3%
Luke Hosek 5.9% 6.9% 5.4% 8.4% 9.7% 11.6% 12.9% 16.3% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.