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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+1.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+2.69vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+2.76vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+0.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.04-1.33vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.62-1.36vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.38-1.91vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.38-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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4.69University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.76Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.56Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.67Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.09Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 28.0% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Joey Lark | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.5% |
| George Higham | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% |
| Emma Snead | 13.0% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Francis Selldorff | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.8% |
| Anthony Root | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 22.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.