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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+3.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+2.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.38+2.03vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.38+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93-3.11vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.62-1.33vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04-3.26vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.59-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.87Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.97Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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5.67Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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4.74Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 13.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| George Higham | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Emma Snead | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 21.3% |
| Anthony Root | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 22.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 27.8% | 24.7% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Francis Selldorff | 7.9% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 14.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Joey Lark | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.