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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+1.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+2.86vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.60vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.38+2.04vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.04-0.40vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.38+0.09vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.62-1.38vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.04Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.6Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.72Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 26.6% | 22.3% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| George Higham | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| Emma Snead | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Anthony Root | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 22.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 12.2% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 21.4% |
| Francis Selldorff | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.6% |
| Joey Lark | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.