← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.46+0.48vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.41+0.33vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.11+0.77vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.18-0.29vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College-0.62+0.70vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.40-1.40vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College-1.55-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.48Stanford University3.460.6%1st Place
-
2.33Stanford University2.410.2%1st Place
-
3.77Connecticut College1.110.1%1st Place
-
3.71Connecticut College1.180.1%1st Place
-
5.7Connecticut College-0.620.0%1st Place
-
4.6Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.41Connecticut College-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 64.0% | 26.0% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 21.7% | 40.8% | 24.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 5.7% | 11.3% | 23.9% | 29.3% | 20.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Wade Anthony | 5.2% | 13.8% | 24.7% | 26.7% | 21.3% | 7.7% | 0.6% |
| Abigail Lenox | 0.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 44.5% | 25.0% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.7% | 4.6% | 13.1% | 20.6% | 33.4% | 20.0% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Lorentzen | 0.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 19.8% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.