← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College0.40+3.55vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.46-0.54vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.41-0.64vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.18-0.28vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College-0.62+0.73vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.11-2.22vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College-1.55-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.55Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
-
1.46Stanford University3.460.7%1st Place
-
2.36Stanford University2.410.2%1st Place
-
3.72Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
-
5.73Connecticut College-0.620.0%1st Place
-
3.78Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.4Connecticut College-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Van Dyke | 2.6% | 5.9% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 32.0% | 20.0% | 5.4% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 65.0% | 26.2% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 21.5% | 39.2% | 25.0% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Wade Anthony | 4.9% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 29.0% | 21.7% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Abigail Lenox | 0.8% | 1.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 45.7% | 25.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.8% | 12.4% | 25.1% | 26.2% | 21.8% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Lorentzen | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 18.6% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.