Race 1A

ewenson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Aidan naughton 21.4% 18.7% 14.9% 15.0% 10.2% 9.4% 6.2% 3.2% 1.0%
Austen Freda 6.8% 7.8% 11.8% 9.6% 13.1% 12.3% 15.5% 13.2% 9.9%
Christian Moffitt 11.6% 10.6% 13.1% 12.4% 12.2% 12.2% 12.4% 10.3% 5.2%
George Higham 10.5% 11.4% 11.4% 11.8% 11.9% 12.9% 11.9% 11.3% 6.9%
Michael Pinto 9.7% 11.3% 11.1% 12.1% 9.8% 11.6% 11.8% 11.8% 10.8%
John Walton 12.8% 12.8% 13.8% 13.9% 13.1% 13.0% 9.6% 6.9% 4.1%
Charlie Hibben 16.9% 18.4% 13.8% 13.2% 15.2% 8.0% 8.3% 5.0% 1.2%
Caroline King 6.2% 4.9% 5.6% 6.8% 8.3% 11.7% 13.2% 19.4% 23.9%
Thomas Johnson 4.1% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 8.9% 11.1% 18.9% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.