Race 2A

ewenson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Pinto 9.1% 9.4% 10.3% 10.4% 12.6% 12.8% 13.9% 12.5% 9.0%
Aidan naughton 17.7% 19.9% 16.0% 14.2% 11.6% 9.6% 6.6% 3.0% 1.4%
George Higham 8.8% 10.2% 12.0% 12.1% 11.1% 13.8% 12.2% 13.5% 6.3%
Austen Freda 8.6% 10.5% 10.5% 11.2% 13.8% 11.3% 14.0% 9.8% 10.3%
Charlie Hibben 19.7% 19.8% 13.1% 11.4% 11.0% 10.0% 7.4% 5.0% 2.6%
John Walton 14.2% 10.8% 15.2% 13.6% 11.4% 13.9% 9.0% 7.8% 4.1%
Christian Moffitt 11.5% 10.3% 12.7% 14.8% 13.2% 11.8% 11.2% 8.4% 6.1%
Thomas Johnson 4.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.8% 7.1% 7.6% 11.1% 19.1% 37.5%
Caroline King 5.9% 5.2% 5.8% 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 14.6% 20.9% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.