Race 3A

ewenson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Aidan naughton 21.2% 18.1% 16.0% 14.6% 11.4% 8.2% 5.6% 3.8% 1.1%
Austen Freda 6.5% 9.3% 9.6% 11.3% 12.3% 13.2% 14.4% 14.8% 8.6%
Charlie Hibben 17.5% 14.8% 16.0% 14.5% 12.5% 8.3% 10.1% 4.6% 1.7%
Michael Pinto 9.6% 10.8% 11.0% 11.2% 11.6% 13.4% 13.0% 11.6% 7.8%
George Higham 10.7% 12.8% 11.9% 11.3% 11.4% 10.6% 11.6% 10.8% 8.9%
John Walton 13.2% 13.9% 12.5% 14.3% 13.3% 12.9% 8.6% 7.0% 4.3%
Caroline King 5.1% 4.3% 7.2% 6.0% 8.4% 10.7% 15.3% 20.2% 22.8%
Christian Moffitt 11.9% 12.2% 11.7% 12.1% 12.6% 12.5% 10.4% 10.1% 6.5%
Thomas Johnson 4.3% 3.8% 4.1% 4.7% 6.5% 10.2% 11.0% 17.1% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.