Race 4A

ewenson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Michael Pinto 8.8% 9.5% 10.6% 9.3% 13.1% 13.6% 12.9% 12.6% 9.6%
Austen Freda 6.7% 8.8% 10.0% 10.9% 13.0% 12.7% 15.2% 13.4% 9.3%
Christian Moffitt 10.5% 12.5% 11.3% 13.8% 12.0% 11.9% 12.0% 10.4% 5.6%
Caroline King 4.8% 5.4% 7.9% 9.0% 7.3% 11.0% 14.0% 17.1% 23.5%
John Walton 14.5% 15.2% 13.9% 12.8% 9.9% 11.3% 9.3% 8.9% 4.2%
Charlie Hibben 18.3% 16.4% 16.4% 14.7% 11.5% 9.1% 7.2% 4.8% 1.6%
George Higham 9.5% 10.2% 10.9% 12.5% 12.5% 12.8% 12.4% 12.9% 6.3%
Aidan naughton 22.6% 18.6% 14.0% 12.7% 13.2% 9.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.5%
Thomas Johnson 4.3% 3.4% 5.0% 4.3% 7.5% 8.2% 11.8% 17.1% 38.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.