Race 5A

ewenson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Walton 14.9% 12.0% 11.7% 14.4% 12.9% 11.3% 10.3% 8.4% 4.1%
Charlie Hibben 13.9% 17.0% 15.4% 14.2% 11.9% 11.9% 6.8% 6.8% 2.1%
Austen Freda 8.6% 8.3% 11.5% 11.4% 11.0% 12.2% 13.8% 15.0% 8.2%
Aidan naughton 21.7% 21.0% 16.3% 13.8% 10.0% 8.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0%
Michael Pinto 9.2% 11.5% 12.9% 10.1% 11.1% 11.0% 12.9% 11.0% 10.3%
Christian Moffitt 11.7% 11.2% 12.2% 13.1% 12.9% 12.9% 13.4% 7.0% 5.6%
George Higham 10.0% 9.3% 11.0% 11.3% 14.1% 13.5% 12.3% 11.4% 7.1%
Caroline King 5.9% 5.4% 5.4% 6.9% 8.6% 10.5% 13.8% 19.8% 23.7%
Thomas Johnson 4.1% 4.3% 3.6% 4.8% 7.5% 8.3% 11.6% 17.9% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.