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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.96+4.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+3.37vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+0.86vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+0.32vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.06+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80-3.56vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.20-3.34vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University2.610.2%1st Place
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4.32Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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6.37Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Freda | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| Michael Pinto | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 17.6% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| John Walton | 13.4% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| George Higham | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% |
| Thomas Johnson | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 35.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 20.9% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Caroline King | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.