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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+2.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.96+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+1.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+1.03vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.33-0.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61-2.23vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39-0.61vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-3.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.06-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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4.31Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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3.77Tufts University2.610.2%1st Place
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6.39Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.96Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 21.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Austen Freda | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Christian Moffitt | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| John Walton | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 17.4% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Caroline King | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 23.3% |
| George Higham | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 8.7% |
| Thomas Johnson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.