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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.96+4.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.80+1.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+0.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.20-0.47vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06-1.08vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.06+0.06vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39-1.66vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.33-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Rhode Island2.800.2%1st Place
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3.87Tufts University2.610.2%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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4.92Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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6.34Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.36Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Freda | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 8.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 16.9% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 17.9% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| George Higham | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 6.3% |
| Thomas Johnson | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 19.9% | 39.0% |
| Caroline King | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 24.2% |
| John Walton | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.