← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.85+4.70vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.86+7.95vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.38+4.42vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+3.36vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.73+1.36vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.38+2.56vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.68-0.38vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.48-1.51vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.39+0.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.78-1.83vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.22-3.42vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.05+0.39vs Predicted
-
13Boston College1.97-4.34vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-4.23vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.07-2.74vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.20-4.67vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.7Yale University2.8511.5%1st Place
-
9.95Brown University1.864.6%1st Place
-
7.42Dartmouth College2.387.5%1st Place
-
7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.3%1st Place
-
6.36Brown University2.739.7%1st Place
-
8.56Bowdoin College2.386.4%1st Place
-
6.62Roger Williams University2.6810.5%1st Place
-
6.49Harvard University2.489.2%1st Place
-
9.94Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
-
8.17University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
-
7.58Tufts University2.226.6%1st Place
-
12.39University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
-
8.66Boston College1.975.5%1st Place
-
9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.1%1st Place
-
12.26Northeastern University1.071.8%1st Place
-
11.33Connecticut College1.203.0%1st Place
-
14.44Olin College of Engineering0.221.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| William Michels | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.