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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26+0.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12+0.76vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+1.69vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.61-0.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-1.34vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.6%1st Place
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2.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.2%1st Place
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4.69SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dax Thompson | 57.5% | 25.6% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Adkins | 18.7% | 29.0% | 23.6% | 18.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Adam Zeng | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 25.2% | 40.1% |
| Mallory Reading | 8.1% | 14.4% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 22.0% | 9.6% |
| Kevin Johnston | 3.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 23.5% | 38.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 8.4% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 23.6% | 20.8% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.