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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26+0.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+2.55vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12-2.28vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.61-2.24vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.6%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
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2.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.2%1st Place
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3.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.79SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dax Thompson | 57.0% | 27.9% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Johnston | 3.1% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 27.8% | 32.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 9.9% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 24.5% | 17.7% | 9.8% |
| Christopher Adkins | 18.9% | 28.2% | 25.8% | 17.5% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| Mallory Reading | 8.2% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 23.1% | 21.7% | 13.3% |
| Adam Zeng | 2.9% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 24.0% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.