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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26+0.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12+0.75vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.61+0.63vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+0.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-0.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.6%1st Place
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2.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.2%1st Place
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3.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.74SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
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4.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dax Thompson | 57.9% | 25.6% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Adkins | 19.2% | 28.1% | 25.6% | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Mallory Reading | 9.1% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 9.4% |
| Adam Zeng | 2.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 23.9% | 40.9% |
| Kevin Johnston | 2.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 25.3% | 37.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 8.2% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 22.9% | 20.3% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.