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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12+1.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26-0.32vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.51+1.86vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.61-0.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.85-0.86vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.2%1st Place
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1.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.6%1st Place
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4.86SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
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3.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Adkins | 17.5% | 28.5% | 23.9% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Dax Thompson | 57.3% | 24.8% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Adam Zeng | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 19.6% | 49.1% |
| Mallory Reading | 7.5% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 22.8% | 12.3% |
| Andrew Campbell | 6.1% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 24.5% | 22.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 7.8% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 21.6% | 22.4% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.