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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.12+1.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26-0.33vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.61+0.74vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.51-0.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.85-1.83vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.120.2%1st Place
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1.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.6%1st Place
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3.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.87SUNY Stony Brook-1.510.0%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Adkins | 17.8% | 28.4% | 25.2% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Dax Thompson | 56.8% | 25.3% | 12.9% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mallory Reading | 8.5% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 24.6% | 11.2% |
| Adam Zeng | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 48.2% |
| Andrew Campbell | 5.8% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 25.5% | 22.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 7.7% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 22.8% | 20.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.