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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+1.63vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+2.04vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.73+1.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.80vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.41-1.96vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.69vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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4.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.96U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.04Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.29George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.04George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 32.5% | 24.1% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 12.7% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Gray Benson | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 25.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.1% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Soenke Jordan | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 25.0% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.