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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+0.77vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.41+2.10vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.49-0.23vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.25vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-1.56vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91-1.90vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.73-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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2.77Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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5.1George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.25St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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6.1Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.47George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| JC Hermus | 29.1% | 24.9% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Soenke Jordan | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 7.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 14.8% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Gray Benson | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 20.7% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.