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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+1.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+3.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.99vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.41+0.93vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+0.90vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.73+0.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-1.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.76vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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3.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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4.93George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.9Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.43George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.24U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 30.8% | 25.5% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gray Benson | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 15.5% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Soenke Jordan | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 19.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 24.7% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.