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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+1.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.94vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.41+0.92vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+0.89vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.73+0.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-0.65vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-4.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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4.94U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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4.92George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.89Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.43George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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3.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 31.2% | 25.6% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Gray Benson | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 6.0% |
| Soenke Jordan | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 19.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 24.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 24.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 15.5% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.