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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+5.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.86+8.07vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+9.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.26vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.73+1.36vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+0.49vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.38+0.41vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.38+0.34vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-1.46vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.85-4.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.39-1.21vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.97-3.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.55vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.20-2.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-5.33vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-3.72vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Roger Williams University2.6810.0%1st Place
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10.07Brown University1.863.5%1st Place
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12.38University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island2.786.7%1st Place
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6.36Brown University2.739.9%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University2.4810.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.386.6%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.386.2%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.227.8%1st Place
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5.76Yale University2.8512.6%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.394.0%1st Place
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8.94Boston College1.975.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College1.202.5%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.453.6%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University1.071.7%1st Place
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14.42Olin College of Engineering0.221.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 15.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Guthrie Braun | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 13.7% |
| James Jagielski | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.