← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.98+9.77vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.93+5.06vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.04+7.62vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.67vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.24vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.46-0.89vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.50+1.61vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.15+1.82vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.09-2.71vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.61+5.16vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.81-3.50vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University2.41-2.74vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.70+1.64vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-4.28vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.11-1.33vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.01-9.28vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.71-9.13vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College1.18-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.77Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
7.06University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
10.62Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
-
8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
5.11Stanford University3.460.2%1st Place
-
8.61Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.82University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
-
6.29Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
15.16Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
-
7.5Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.26Stanford University2.410.0%1st Place
-
14.64Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
-
9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
13.67Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.72Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.87Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
13.27Connecticut College1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 34.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Berta Puig | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 27.9% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 14.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Wade Anthony | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.