Race 2A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gage Schoenherr 12.5% 11.6% 12.7% 11.3% 11.3% 8.4% 8.0% 7.9% 6.5% 5.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 18.4% 14.1% 15.5% 11.9% 11.6% 8.5% 7.0% 5.2% 3.0% 2.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Luke Ingalls 8.9% 10.7% 11.9% 9.2% 9.7% 10.1% 9.9% 9.0% 6.5% 6.0% 4.7% 2.8% 0.6%
Cameron Wood 6.8% 6.9% 5.6% 9.4% 9.1% 8.1% 8.4% 9.3% 8.5% 9.8% 8.7% 6.8% 2.6%
Spencer Cartwright 12.6% 14.4% 11.5% 11.1% 8.3% 9.7% 8.8% 7.3% 6.5% 4.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Richie Gordon 5.4% 5.2% 4.7% 5.6% 7.1% 6.5% 6.9% 8.6% 10.7% 11.0% 10.2% 13.2% 4.9%
Emily Bornarth 7.8% 6.6% 7.6% 7.2% 7.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.7% 10.4% 8.5% 9.3% 6.9% 2.8%
Berta Puig 6.4% 7.4% 6.2% 6.3% 6.6% 9.3% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 10.5% 8.7% 8.1% 2.2%
Alex Fasolo 8.5% 6.9% 9.2% 11.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7% 8.3% 7.5% 8.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.0%
Rebecca Read 4.8% 6.4% 3.8% 5.5% 6.6% 8.1% 8.0% 7.8% 8.7% 8.8% 12.9% 11.9% 6.7%
Libby Redmond 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 6.5% 5.7% 6.6% 7.0% 9.4% 9.9% 11.8% 9.4% 13.3% 6.4%
Alex Bowdler 3.1% 4.6% 4.3% 4.0% 6.4% 6.4% 7.1% 6.2% 9.1% 9.0% 14.5% 16.2% 9.1%
Molly Hanrahan 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.8% 3.8% 7.4% 11.9% 61.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.