Race 3A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gage Schoenherr 12.9% 11.8% 12.5% 10.6% 10.4% 10.1% 8.5% 7.2% 5.7% 4.9% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 17.8% 16.8% 14.5% 11.2% 10.6% 9.5% 6.2% 4.9% 4.1% 1.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Spencer Cartwright 11.1% 12.6% 12.9% 11.1% 7.6% 11.6% 8.8% 7.6% 6.6% 4.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.6%
Cameron Wood 6.6% 6.6% 7.8% 8.5% 7.5% 7.4% 9.9% 8.8% 9.4% 9.1% 9.5% 6.5% 2.4%
Emily Bornarth 7.0% 7.7% 6.8% 8.2% 9.4% 6.2% 7.7% 8.7% 10.0% 10.2% 8.9% 6.1% 3.1%
Alex Fasolo 8.9% 8.5% 9.6% 9.0% 9.5% 8.6% 9.4% 8.8% 8.5% 6.6% 6.9% 3.9% 1.8%
Molly Hanrahan 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% 3.5% 3.5% 5.2% 5.2% 13.9% 57.6%
Luke Ingalls 11.1% 10.6% 10.1% 9.5% 10.8% 9.8% 9.3% 9.4% 5.5% 5.8% 4.2% 3.0% 0.9%
Alex Bowdler 4.4% 3.5% 5.1% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 5.6% 9.9% 8.5% 9.8% 12.9% 14.9% 9.9%
Libby Redmond 5.0% 4.9% 4.1% 5.0% 6.0% 7.4% 7.2% 8.2% 7.8% 10.7% 10.5% 14.9% 8.3%
Rebecca Read 4.9% 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 7.5% 6.6% 8.6% 8.3% 10.8% 10.0% 10.8% 10.0% 5.6%
Richie Gordon 4.0% 4.9% 4.0% 6.1% 6.7% 7.0% 7.7% 5.6% 9.4% 11.9% 13.2% 13.7% 5.8%
Berta Puig 5.1% 6.5% 5.6% 8.1% 7.4% 7.4% 9.1% 9.1% 10.2% 9.5% 9.3% 9.1% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.