Race 4A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 18.1% 16.1% 14.1% 11.5% 11.0% 9.2% 5.9% 6.3% 3.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Luke Ingalls 9.2% 11.3% 11.1% 10.1% 10.0% 8.3% 10.0% 8.8% 7.3% 5.8% 4.4% 3.2% 0.5%
Alex Bowdler 2.9% 3.5% 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 5.8% 8.0% 7.5% 8.8% 11.7% 12.2% 16.3% 7.6%
Gage Schoenherr 12.4% 12.9% 11.3% 10.5% 10.4% 10.1% 8.8% 7.4% 6.7% 4.3% 2.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Berta Puig 7.5% 5.9% 7.2% 8.1% 7.3% 8.5% 7.7% 8.3% 10.2% 9.8% 9.5% 6.3% 3.7%
Spencer Cartwright 12.3% 12.9% 11.3% 12.8% 9.2% 9.5% 8.1% 7.7% 5.8% 4.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Alex Fasolo 9.7% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 8.2% 10.8% 8.6% 7.9% 7.8% 9.2% 5.8% 4.6% 1.2%
Cameron Wood 7.2% 7.3% 6.5% 6.9% 9.5% 8.7% 9.2% 7.8% 10.4% 9.4% 7.8% 7.7% 1.6%
Molly Hanrahan 1.1% 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 3.8% 3.7% 7.4% 10.6% 61.0%
Rebecca Read 6.0% 4.1% 5.9% 5.1% 7.1% 6.7% 8.1% 9.3% 8.3% 9.0% 11.2% 13.1% 6.1%
Richie Gordon 4.5% 5.4% 6.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.2% 6.7% 10.1% 9.7% 9.9% 11.2% 10.7% 5.6%
Libby Redmond 4.0% 4.5% 3.8% 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 7.0% 7.5% 9.0% 10.1% 12.9% 15.4% 8.4%
Emily Bornarth 5.1% 7.1% 6.5% 7.2% 7.7% 7.5% 9.7% 9.3% 8.9% 9.6% 10.3% 7.8% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.