Race 5A

thompson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gage Schoenherr 12.9% 12.6% 10.6% 12.4% 9.1% 10.8% 8.3% 8.1% 6.1% 4.0% 3.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Rebecca Read 4.6% 4.7% 5.9% 5.5% 5.7% 8.0% 7.2% 7.8% 9.4% 10.5% 11.0% 13.7% 6.0%
Spencer Cartwright 11.7% 12.1% 12.0% 10.8% 9.3% 10.6% 9.8% 7.2% 6.2% 4.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.8%
Luke Ingalls 11.5% 10.9% 9.3% 9.5% 10.5% 8.2% 9.2% 9.8% 7.2% 6.5% 4.2% 2.5% 0.7%
Emily Bornarth 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 7.3% 9.8% 7.4% 7.8% 8.8% 10.2% 8.0% 9.4% 6.8% 3.3%
Libby Redmond 4.6% 5.1% 4.2% 5.6% 6.1% 5.6% 7.8% 8.1% 9.1% 10.3% 11.6% 14.6% 7.3%
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 17.6% 17.0% 13.9% 12.5% 9.8% 9.1% 5.6% 6.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Cameron Wood 7.1% 6.6% 8.5% 5.9% 9.0% 8.3% 9.6% 8.6% 9.7% 9.4% 9.5% 6.0% 1.8%
Molly Hanrahan 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.2% 4.6% 6.8% 11.0% 61.0%
Berta Puig 6.3% 7.0% 6.7% 7.0% 8.2% 9.5% 7.9% 7.7% 8.8% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 2.8%
Alex Bowdler 3.6% 4.1% 6.2% 5.7% 5.9% 5.3% 8.3% 7.4% 9.1% 11.7% 12.0% 12.5% 8.2%
Alex Fasolo 8.2% 7.8% 8.7% 10.1% 7.9% 8.8% 8.6% 9.6% 8.8% 8.6% 5.9% 5.2% 1.8%
Richie Gordon 3.6% 3.9% 5.8% 5.8% 6.8% 6.5% 7.6% 7.7% 9.8% 10.0% 11.8% 14.7% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.