Race 6A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Spencer Cartwright 12.2% 12.6% 11.5% 11.1% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 6.4% 7.2% 5.2% 2.0% 2.1% 0.7%
Luke Ingalls 9.8% 10.8% 10.4% 9.7% 11.0% 9.9% 8.2% 9.4% 6.3% 7.3% 3.8% 2.7% 0.7%
Cameron Wood 6.3% 6.6% 8.2% 7.8% 7.6% 10.0% 8.3% 9.3% 8.5% 9.8% 8.4% 7.6% 1.6%
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 17.4% 17.6% 13.8% 11.5% 9.9% 8.7% 7.4% 6.2% 3.9% 1.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2%
Libby Redmond 5.3% 4.5% 4.9% 4.9% 6.9% 6.2% 7.2% 7.3% 9.1% 9.6% 13.7% 14.0% 6.4%
Berta Puig 7.1% 5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 8.2% 6.6% 9.6% 10.1% 7.2% 10.0% 10.5% 7.6% 3.0%
Gage Schoenherr 13.8% 12.1% 10.6% 12.2% 10.6% 9.3% 7.7% 7.1% 6.1% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Rebecca Read 4.8% 6.1% 5.4% 4.8% 6.0% 6.9% 8.0% 8.5% 9.3% 10.7% 12.0% 11.6% 5.9%
Alex Fasolo 8.6% 7.4% 9.7% 8.0% 9.6% 8.7% 10.0% 9.3% 8.4% 7.3% 6.4% 4.9% 1.7%
Molly Hanrahan 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 6.5% 11.9% 61.1%
Alex Bowdler 4.1% 4.3% 5.3% 6.0% 4.8% 7.5% 6.7% 7.5% 10.4% 10.0% 11.8% 14.8% 6.8%
Emily Bornarth 6.1% 6.5% 6.6% 8.5% 6.9% 7.7% 8.6% 8.9% 9.6% 10.2% 9.4% 7.3% 3.7%
Richie Gordon 3.6% 4.5% 5.4% 6.2% 7.1% 6.4% 6.7% 7.8% 10.9% 9.6% 10.5% 13.4% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.