Race 7A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 16.7% 17.1% 13.2% 12.0% 12.4% 8.4% 6.0% 6.3% 3.7% 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Gage Schoenherr 12.4% 11.4% 12.5% 11.3% 10.3% 11.0% 7.8% 5.7% 7.4% 4.7% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Luke Ingalls 8.5% 10.9% 11.7% 9.8% 8.7% 11.4% 10.2% 7.9% 6.5% 7.0% 3.7% 3.1% 0.6%
Alex Fasolo 9.0% 7.5% 8.7% 10.2% 10.0% 7.8% 9.5% 9.0% 8.1% 7.6% 6.8% 4.3% 1.5%
Spencer Cartwright 12.3% 13.9% 12.2% 10.9% 8.7% 9.3% 8.5% 8.5% 5.7% 4.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
Cameron Wood 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.4% 8.7% 8.8% 9.2% 9.7% 8.7% 8.8% 7.6% 7.2% 2.0%
Emily Bornarth 8.3% 6.2% 8.2% 6.2% 8.0% 7.6% 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 8.4% 9.7% 7.5% 2.3%
Richie Gordon 4.8% 5.7% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.8% 9.0% 8.9% 10.7% 11.9% 13.1% 4.8%
Libby Redmond 4.3% 4.4% 4.0% 5.3% 5.7% 5.7% 8.1% 7.3% 10.6% 10.2% 13.1% 13.2% 8.1%
Rebecca Read 5.8% 5.4% 4.2% 5.6% 7.0% 6.7% 9.0% 8.4% 7.7% 10.0% 10.5% 13.0% 6.7%
Alex Bowdler 3.5% 4.0% 6.0% 6.1% 5.5% 6.8% 6.0% 8.3% 10.5% 11.4% 10.4% 13.8% 7.7%
Berta Puig 6.3% 5.2% 5.7% 8.9% 7.6% 8.3% 7.4% 7.5% 9.6% 10.3% 11.1% 8.6% 3.5%
Molly Hanrahan 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 4.2% 7.2% 12.3% 61.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.