Race 8A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Wood 7.1% 5.8% 7.8% 9.0% 8.3% 8.5% 7.6% 9.4% 9.6% 8.8% 9.4% 5.8% 2.9%
Luke Ingalls 8.8% 11.5% 10.4% 10.7% 9.7% 10.3% 9.8% 7.3% 8.0% 5.8% 4.4% 2.0% 1.3%
Gage Schoenherr 11.4% 12.7% 13.3% 9.8% 9.5% 10.0% 9.9% 7.8% 5.7% 5.8% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Spencer Cartwright 11.9% 12.4% 12.3% 11.9% 10.1% 8.7% 8.8% 7.3% 6.8% 4.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 19.0% 18.1% 12.8% 10.7% 11.0% 9.2% 6.7% 5.2% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Rebecca Read 5.5% 4.0% 5.9% 6.6% 5.8% 7.6% 7.1% 7.7% 11.5% 10.0% 11.1% 11.5% 5.7%
Richie Gordon 6.2% 4.4% 5.8% 6.2% 5.9% 5.9% 7.5% 8.1% 9.3% 10.1% 12.3% 12.1% 6.2%
Libby Redmond 4.3% 5.8% 4.4% 5.0% 6.3% 5.9% 6.2% 10.1% 8.1% 10.6% 12.6% 13.8% 6.9%
Alex Fasolo 9.0% 7.1% 9.3% 9.4% 9.4% 8.6% 8.7% 9.4% 8.0% 8.6% 5.4% 5.1% 2.0%
Berta Puig 6.9% 6.4% 5.8% 7.5% 8.5% 8.9% 9.5% 8.0% 9.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.2% 4.3%
Molly Hanrahan 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 3.6% 5.0% 8.1% 13.6% 56.6%
Emily Bornarth 6.3% 5.9% 7.2% 7.0% 8.2% 8.0% 8.6% 9.2% 9.0% 10.3% 8.7% 7.6% 4.0%
Alex Bowdler 2.6% 5.0% 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 5.7% 6.6% 8.3% 8.5% 10.4% 11.9% 16.5% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.