Race 9A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Luke Ingalls 10.8% 10.3% 11.0% 10.9% 7.3% 10.7% 9.3% 9.5% 6.2% 6.0% 4.1% 2.9% 1.0%
Cameron Wood 6.4% 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 9.0% 6.5% 8.7% 9.8% 9.6% 9.3% 8.3% 6.9% 2.5%
Rebecca Read 3.8% 5.1% 4.7% 6.3% 6.0% 7.7% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 10.9% 11.9% 12.3% 5.2%
Emily Bornarth 6.1% 6.6% 7.1% 8.6% 7.7% 7.5% 8.5% 8.4% 9.2% 10.2% 9.5% 7.9% 2.7%
Libby Redmond 5.4% 4.5% 4.1% 5.6% 7.2% 5.0% 7.9% 7.7% 9.3% 10.1% 12.3% 13.7% 7.2%
Alex Fasolo 8.6% 9.3% 8.6% 10.5% 8.5% 9.8% 8.2% 9.1% 7.2% 7.6% 6.4% 5.3% 0.9%
Gage Schoenherr 13.1% 12.7% 11.8% 11.2% 11.0% 8.5% 7.9% 6.5% 7.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 18.2% 16.9% 14.2% 9.9% 12.2% 10.0% 6.5% 5.4% 3.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Spencer Cartwright 12.1% 11.9% 11.2% 9.7% 10.2% 11.0% 9.9% 7.0% 5.3% 5.1% 3.9% 2.2% 0.5%
Alex Bowdler 4.8% 3.4% 5.5% 4.2% 5.3% 6.6% 7.1% 8.2% 8.1% 10.1% 12.2% 16.3% 8.2%
Richie Gordon 5.0% 4.1% 6.8% 6.0% 6.4% 7.9% 7.4% 8.7% 10.9% 9.3% 10.9% 10.2% 6.4%
Molly Hanrahan 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 1.6% 3.7% 4.7% 7.3% 11.4% 61.2%
Berta Puig 4.9% 7.0% 6.0% 7.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 9.4% 10.5% 10.2% 9.4% 8.7% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.