Race 10A

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gage Schoenherr 13.6% 12.4% 13.3% 12.2% 11.0% 11.2% 8.4% 6.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.4% 0.1%
Berta Puig 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 9.1% 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 10.5% 10.6% 11.0% 8.8% 2.8%
Cameron Wood 8.6% 7.2% 7.7% 8.1% 9.0% 9.0% 9.3% 12.0% 11.1% 10.0% 5.3% 2.7%
Alex Bowdler 3.6% 4.1% 5.4% 6.2% 6.1% 7.7% 9.0% 9.5% 11.5% 12.0% 15.7% 9.2%
Luke Ingalls 11.5% 11.3% 12.6% 11.2% 10.4% 9.0% 9.3% 8.7% 6.6% 4.7% 3.7% 1.0%
Emily Bornarth 7.2% 7.6% 6.8% 9.4% 7.7% 9.3% 10.9% 10.8% 9.3% 9.8% 8.1% 3.1%
Rebecca Read 6.5% 5.6% 6.5% 6.0% 8.8% 6.5% 9.9% 7.7% 11.9% 11.9% 12.3% 6.4%
Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo 20.4% 20.2% 11.9% 12.5% 10.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Libby Redmond 3.7% 5.1% 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 9.2% 9.8% 9.2% 11.8% 12.4% 13.6% 5.6%
Spencer Cartwright 13.2% 12.8% 15.0% 11.0% 11.2% 10.5% 8.3% 7.6% 4.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Richie Gordon 4.7% 5.1% 5.3% 6.1% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 10.1% 10.7% 12.3% 13.9% 7.5%
Molly Hanrahan 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.6% 1.0% 3.3% 4.2% 7.1% 13.3% 61.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.