← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.28vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.85+3.68vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.22+4.56vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.73+2.17vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.86+5.19vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.39+3.63vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.38+0.21vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.20+3.53vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.68-2.36vs Predicted
-
10Boston College1.97-1.12vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.48-4.42vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-2.26vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.38-4.35vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.05-1.74vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.07-2.75vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-8.61vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.28University of Rhode Island2.786.2%1st Place
-
5.68Yale University2.8512.8%1st Place
-
7.56Tufts University2.227.2%1st Place
-
6.17Brown University2.7310.2%1st Place
-
10.19Brown University1.863.5%1st Place
-
9.63Boston University1.394.2%1st Place
-
7.21Dartmouth College2.388.0%1st Place
-
11.53Connecticut College1.202.6%1st Place
-
6.64Roger Williams University2.689.4%1st Place
-
8.88Boston College1.975.1%1st Place
-
6.58Harvard University2.489.2%1st Place
-
9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.0%1st Place
-
8.65Bowdoin College2.385.1%1st Place
-
12.26University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
-
12.25Northeastern University1.071.9%1st Place
-
7.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.3%1st Place
-
14.37Olin College of Engineering0.220.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| William Michels | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 14.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| James Jagielski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.