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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+4.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+3.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+3.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.28+3.59vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.91+4.22vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.37+5.20vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.73+6.24vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-3.38vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.38+2.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-3.50vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.13-2.43vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.74-2.32vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.40+0.97vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.91-8.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-6.56vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.02-7.21vs Predicted
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18Boston College1.33-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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10.22Stanford University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.2Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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14.24Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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5.62Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.57Roger Williams University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.68Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.97Connecticut College0.400.0%1st Place
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6.2Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island2.020.0%1st Place
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12.18Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Grace Austin | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 7.3% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 19.0% | 26.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Riley Read | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Christina Van Dyke | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 36.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Kylie Castellano | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.