Race 2B

thompson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Hoogland 15.0% 12.8% 13.8% 11.5% 10.3% 9.8% 7.1% 7.5% 4.7% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Samuel Merson 10.2% 9.1% 10.1% 10.0% 11.5% 8.6% 8.0% 8.9% 8.1% 6.3% 5.2% 2.3% 1.7%
Nathan Olmsted 6.6% 7.8% 11.0% 8.8% 8.4% 10.3% 7.6% 8.9% 10.7% 7.8% 4.8% 4.8% 2.5%
Emma Snead 5.2% 6.9% 6.5% 8.6% 7.0% 6.7% 8.1% 9.6% 9.6% 7.5% 10.5% 7.7% 6.1%
Lourdes Gallo 3.2% 3.1% 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.7% 5.9% 6.7% 8.5% 10.3% 15.9% 24.9%
Hannah Freeman 18.2% 14.4% 14.3% 11.2% 10.1% 9.1% 7.6% 5.4% 3.4% 3.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Michael O'Flaherty 7.8% 9.1% 7.9% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 8.3% 9.2% 8.2% 7.7% 8.6% 6.7% 3.0%
Riley Read 5.7% 7.3% 5.6% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.1% 10.5% 9.2% 8.9% 8.2% 4.7%
Nils Tullberg 4.6% 4.7% 3.3% 5.5% 5.6% 4.4% 7.1% 7.0% 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 11.8% 13.6%
Kylie Castellano 6.0% 6.6% 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 8.9% 7.9% 8.5% 8.0% 9.1% 9.2% 9.8% 7.7%
Daniel Unangst 10.3% 10.9% 11.1% 10.1% 10.1% 9.4% 9.6% 7.6% 6.0% 6.4% 3.9% 3.3% 1.3%
Grace Austin 4.7% 4.7% 4.4% 7.6% 6.8% 5.9% 7.3% 8.7% 7.3% 9.5% 11.7% 12.1% 9.3%
Anthony Root 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 5.2% 6.7% 4.7% 6.1% 9.6% 12.4% 15.4% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.