Race 3B

thompson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma Snead 6.1% 5.9% 5.4% 7.5% 9.4% 7.1% 8.3% 8.1% 9.8% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 5.7%
Aidan Hoogland 14.0% 14.5% 12.0% 13.0% 10.1% 9.6% 7.2% 7.0% 5.1% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.6%
Michael O'Flaherty 6.1% 6.8% 8.9% 9.2% 8.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.1% 9.4% 8.5% 7.0% 7.2% 3.9%
Nathan Olmsted 7.3% 9.6% 8.6% 9.2% 9.7% 9.0% 7.7% 9.5% 8.1% 8.2% 7.4% 3.3% 2.4%
Samuel Merson 10.8% 10.3% 11.0% 9.3% 9.9% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 7.3% 5.6% 3.9% 4.1% 1.4%
Kylie Castellano 6.9% 5.0% 6.2% 6.5% 7.5% 8.0% 7.4% 8.0% 9.9% 9.0% 9.2% 8.9% 7.5%
Anthony Root 4.5% 2.6% 3.2% 4.4% 4.7% 4.2% 5.9% 4.5% 5.9% 9.6% 11.0% 15.3% 24.2%
Lourdes Gallo 2.6% 3.8% 3.2% 3.1% 4.2% 5.0% 5.2% 4.7% 6.6% 9.9% 12.0% 14.9% 24.8%
Hannah Freeman 17.1% 15.1% 14.9% 10.3% 9.7% 8.6% 7.3% 6.4% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Grace Austin 6.1% 5.3% 4.4% 5.6% 7.7% 6.8% 8.6% 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 11.7% 10.1% 10.9%
Nils Tullberg 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 7.0% 4.3% 6.5% 7.5% 7.8% 10.4% 10.2% 9.8% 11.3% 11.4%
Daniel Unangst 9.3% 9.9% 10.0% 8.5% 7.9% 10.4% 9.4% 9.1% 9.0% 6.4% 4.7% 4.2% 1.2%
Riley Read 5.1% 6.7% 7.0% 6.4% 6.7% 7.9% 8.3% 10.3% 7.3% 9.5% 9.7% 9.3% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.