Race 5B

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Samuel Merson 11.1% 8.8% 10.5% 10.3% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 8.3% 8.8% 5.5% 6.1% 2.3% 1.4%
Daniel Unangst 8.9% 10.6% 10.5% 9.3% 10.9% 7.9% 9.7% 8.4% 7.6% 6.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.9%
Aidan Hoogland 14.6% 14.3% 13.4% 8.7% 10.6% 11.1% 8.1% 6.6% 4.4% 4.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Michael O'Flaherty 6.0% 7.8% 7.9% 9.3% 7.6% 8.7% 7.1% 8.7% 9.2% 8.2% 10.7% 5.9% 2.9%
Lourdes Gallo 3.0% 3.6% 2.6% 3.7% 3.7% 5.5% 5.0% 5.4% 7.4% 8.0% 10.9% 15.1% 26.1%
Emma Snead 7.2% 5.5% 6.7% 8.0% 6.6% 7.3% 8.7% 8.6% 9.5% 9.2% 9.1% 7.8% 5.8%
Anthony Root 3.8% 3.7% 3.2% 3.9% 4.8% 4.5% 5.3% 5.0% 7.0% 9.0% 11.1% 14.2% 24.5%
Nathan Olmsted 9.0% 9.3% 8.0% 7.6% 9.0% 10.1% 9.4% 9.8% 8.4% 7.8% 5.3% 4.2% 2.1%
Hannah Freeman 16.7% 15.7% 13.0% 12.7% 9.3% 8.5% 6.8% 7.1% 4.2% 2.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.5%
Kylie Castellano 6.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 8.8% 7.7% 10.1% 8.8% 9.7% 8.0%
Riley Read 5.7% 7.0% 7.6% 7.7% 9.0% 8.1% 8.4% 8.8% 9.4% 7.8% 8.3% 7.6% 4.6%
Grace Austin 4.4% 4.4% 5.6% 7.0% 6.0% 6.5% 7.6% 6.9% 8.4% 9.4% 11.8% 12.4% 9.6%
Nils Tullberg 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 6.5% 5.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.0% 11.0% 9.3% 15.8% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.