Race 6B

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 9.1% 8.0% 8.1% 11.0% 8.4% 7.7% 9.9% 8.4% 8.5% 7.6% 6.2% 4.6% 2.5%
Kylie Castellano 5.0% 5.8% 5.3% 7.5% 8.1% 8.0% 6.2% 9.1% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0% 9.7% 6.8%
Daniel Unangst 8.7% 11.4% 9.9% 9.5% 8.6% 11.0% 8.2% 8.6% 7.4% 7.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.5%
Aidan Hoogland 14.1% 14.4% 14.9% 10.6% 8.4% 9.6% 7.8% 6.5% 6.5% 3.8% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Riley Read 6.6% 6.7% 7.7% 7.9% 7.4% 5.7% 9.2% 8.7% 8.8% 9.1% 9.7% 8.1% 4.4%
Emma Snead 6.8% 5.5% 7.7% 7.2% 8.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.9% 9.3% 8.6% 8.6% 8.7% 4.9%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.5% 7.4% 8.7% 7.2% 6.7% 8.6% 8.7% 8.0% 9.1% 9.2% 7.9% 6.2% 3.8%
Hannah Freeman 16.1% 16.7% 11.5% 12.1% 11.2% 10.5% 8.3% 5.0% 3.7% 2.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.5%
Samuel Merson 10.1% 9.3% 9.5% 9.4% 11.1% 9.4% 8.2% 9.4% 5.9% 6.6% 5.5% 4.0% 1.6%
Grace Austin 6.1% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 8.1% 8.7% 7.4% 9.9% 9.0% 11.1% 10.4%
Nils Tullberg 4.3% 4.2% 4.9% 6.3% 6.4% 5.5% 7.5% 8.2% 8.7% 9.9% 12.4% 11.0% 10.7%
Anthony Root 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 3.1% 4.1% 5.8% 4.9% 4.6% 8.0% 8.2% 11.1% 16.5% 25.0%
Lourdes Gallo 2.3% 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 4.6% 4.2% 4.9% 5.9% 7.7% 8.4% 10.9% 15.4% 27.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.