Race 7B

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Walter Gnann 6.7% 7.7% 8.8% 8.8% 8.4% 7.7% 9.3% 9.1% 8.8% 9.5% 6.4% 6.0% 2.8%
Aidan Hoogland 15.5% 14.3% 14.0% 13.5% 8.7% 10.0% 7.2% 6.0% 5.6% 2.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Riley Read 5.1% 6.1% 8.6% 8.5% 7.0% 6.9% 10.0% 9.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.0% 6.8% 4.5%
Grace Austin 5.1% 5.8% 4.5% 6.4% 7.4% 7.9% 8.7% 7.3% 8.6% 9.1% 11.7% 9.0% 8.5%
Hannah Freeman 18.8% 17.4% 13.4% 10.9% 11.1% 8.1% 7.2% 4.4% 3.7% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Annie Buelt 6.1% 5.6% 6.4% 6.6% 6.6% 7.8% 9.0% 7.5% 9.5% 8.6% 9.2% 9.4% 7.7%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.8% 8.1% 8.1% 8.9% 8.6% 7.9% 8.0% 10.0% 7.7% 7.8% 7.0% 6.3% 2.8%
Emma Snead 6.6% 6.5% 7.3% 7.5% 9.0% 7.9% 7.4% 9.0% 10.7% 8.1% 9.3% 6.3% 4.4%
Nils Tullberg 5.0% 4.9% 4.5% 4.4% 5.8% 6.1% 7.3% 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 9.8% 11.8% 13.2%
Kylie Castellano 6.8% 6.2% 6.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.9% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 9.1% 8.3% 9.4% 6.9%
Samuel Merson 10.9% 11.5% 12.2% 10.2% 10.1% 10.6% 8.0% 7.9% 6.0% 4.8% 4.6% 2.0% 1.2%
Anthony Root 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 3.7% 5.3% 4.5% 5.9% 6.4% 6.0% 9.3% 11.7% 15.7% 22.7%
Lourdes Gallo 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 5.1% 5.3% 7.5% 9.8% 10.2% 15.4% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.