Race 8B

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Hoogland 15.5% 14.7% 13.7% 12.5% 10.2% 9.1% 6.8% 6.9% 4.5% 2.6% 1.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Hannah Freeman 17.6% 15.5% 15.0% 11.9% 11.5% 7.5% 6.5% 5.8% 4.4% 1.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Samuel Merson 9.5% 10.1% 13.0% 9.8% 8.7% 10.5% 8.9% 8.7% 6.1% 5.8% 5.3% 2.1% 1.5%
Kylie Castellano 5.9% 6.9% 5.1% 7.3% 8.0% 7.8% 7.2% 9.1% 8.9% 8.9% 8.9% 9.2% 6.8%
Walter Gnann 8.0% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.7% 7.9% 9.2% 7.8% 9.1% 8.5% 7.0% 5.8% 2.7%
Annie Buelt 6.7% 5.7% 4.6% 7.5% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.7% 9.1% 9.7% 8.6% 9.7% 7.4%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.4% 8.5% 9.8% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 9.8% 7.4% 8.2% 8.3% 7.2% 6.5% 2.3%
Emma Snead 6.4% 7.0% 7.2% 7.5% 6.7% 8.5% 9.4% 9.5% 8.7% 8.9% 8.9% 6.9% 4.4%
Nils Tullberg 4.7% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 5.8% 7.7% 8.4% 9.5% 9.0% 10.9% 10.9% 13.4%
Anthony Root 3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 3.4% 4.3% 5.5% 6.8% 6.0% 7.3% 9.0% 10.8% 13.5% 22.8%
Riley Read 6.2% 8.0% 8.2% 7.9% 8.5% 8.9% 8.4% 9.0% 8.9% 8.2% 7.0% 6.4% 4.4%
Grace Austin 5.4% 4.7% 4.1% 7.8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.2% 6.0% 8.9% 10.4% 11.2% 10.5% 9.0%
Lourdes Gallo 2.2% 3.0% 2.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.4% 4.7% 6.7% 6.4% 9.0% 10.9% 16.2% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.