Race 9B

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nils Tullberg 4.4% 4.5% 4.4% 5.9% 7.3% 6.7% 7.7% 6.9% 7.3% 10.8% 11.2% 11.3% 11.6%
Grace Austin 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 10.1% 10.6% 10.5% 9.3% 7.7%
Hannah Freeman 16.1% 16.6% 14.5% 11.7% 10.4% 10.1% 6.5% 5.6% 3.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.0% 7.0% 8.6% 9.9% 8.5% 7.5% 9.0% 9.1% 8.1% 7.6% 7.7% 5.7% 3.3%
Samuel Merson 11.4% 11.9% 10.9% 10.6% 8.0% 8.7% 9.5% 9.2% 6.2% 5.1% 4.3% 3.1% 1.1%
Walter Gnann 7.5% 8.1% 8.0% 9.3% 9.4% 7.0% 8.5% 9.3% 8.7% 7.8% 6.2% 6.9% 3.3%
Aidan Hoogland 16.6% 15.5% 12.0% 12.6% 10.0% 9.6% 6.6% 6.6% 4.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Kylie Castellano 5.2% 6.7% 7.4% 6.5% 8.1% 7.4% 7.1% 9.4% 10.5% 9.1% 8.8% 8.6% 5.2%
Annie Buelt 6.0% 5.6% 4.8% 6.1% 7.2% 6.8% 8.3% 9.3% 9.2% 9.1% 9.7% 9.6% 8.3%
Riley Read 7.8% 6.2% 7.5% 7.7% 8.7% 8.5% 7.3% 7.5% 8.9% 9.0% 7.6% 7.3% 6.0%
Emma Snead 6.6% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 7.2% 10.4% 8.8% 8.4% 9.0% 8.7% 7.0% 6.5% 4.3%
Anthony Root 3.2% 2.2% 3.7% 3.5% 4.4% 5.4% 6.8% 4.8% 6.5% 9.5% 11.7% 14.9% 23.4%
Lourdes Gallo 2.4% 2.7% 3.8% 2.4% 3.9% 5.0% 6.6% 6.1% 7.8% 6.6% 12.2% 15.3% 25.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.