Race 10B

thompson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Walter Gnann 8.1% 8.5% 8.8% 8.6% 9.7% 9.3% 11.3% 7.4% 10.3% 6.6% 7.6% 3.8%
Aidan Hoogland 17.0% 16.7% 14.2% 13.0% 10.9% 7.8% 7.1% 6.7% 3.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Kylie Castellano 7.7% 5.6% 7.5% 8.9% 8.1% 7.2% 9.0% 10.4% 9.3% 10.6% 9.8% 5.9%
Riley Read 6.5% 7.4% 8.2% 11.4% 7.0% 10.3% 9.4% 11.2% 7.1% 8.3% 7.6% 5.6%
Emma Snead 6.8% 8.1% 8.1% 8.6% 9.0% 9.9% 10.2% 7.5% 9.7% 7.7% 8.0% 6.4%
Anthony Root 3.3% 4.4% 4.0% 4.8% 4.5% 5.4% 6.3% 7.9% 8.9% 11.8% 15.1% 23.6%
Annie Buelt 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 7.0% 8.9% 9.0% 7.2% 10.3% 9.7% 11.7% 7.3% 7.5%
Nils Tullberg 6.1% 5.8% 6.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 8.1% 10.8% 9.8% 12.4% 12.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.1% 9.3% 10.2% 10.1% 10.1% 10.8% 9.4% 8.3% 9.6% 6.6% 4.6% 2.9%
Grace Austin 6.1% 6.6% 7.4% 6.9% 8.6% 7.6% 8.7% 10.1% 8.6% 11.9% 9.6% 7.9%
Hannah Freeman 19.5% 16.9% 15.1% 11.7% 11.2% 8.5% 6.2% 4.7% 3.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Lourdes Gallo 4.1% 3.6% 2.1% 3.5% 5.3% 6.5% 6.9% 7.4% 9.3% 11.0% 16.3% 24.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.