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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+5.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.38+5.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.18vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48+0.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+0.69vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.86+1.99vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.20+2.18vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.97-0.92vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.85-5.41vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.39-2.34vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-3.19vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-2.59vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.22-1.54vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.38-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Brown University2.739.7%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.387.5%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.4%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island2.786.2%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University2.689.8%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.489.8%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University2.226.5%1st Place
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9.99Brown University1.863.2%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College1.203.2%1st Place
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9.08Boston College1.975.2%1st Place
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5.59Yale University2.8513.2%1st Place
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9.66Boston University1.393.8%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.0%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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12.41University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
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14.46Olin College of Engineering0.220.9%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.385.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Peter Joslin | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Stephan Baker | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 15.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| James Jagielski | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 44.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.