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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+2.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+1.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+1.60vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.11+2.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04-2.21vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.98-1.26vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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3.75Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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4.6Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.9Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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3.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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3.79Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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5.74Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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3.58Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.3% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 7.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 16.9% | 58.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 14.5% | 20.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.9% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 27.7% | 22.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 19.9% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.