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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+1.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+1.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93-0.94vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-2.31vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.11-0.08vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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3.79Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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4.58Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.74Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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3.69Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.92Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 19.0% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 7.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 16.4% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 17.5% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 14.0% | 61.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 25.0% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.