Race 3A

coed-new-england

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Jack Murphy 16.0% 16.5% 17.5% 14.9% 12.9% 11.1% 8.6% 2.5%
Luke Ingalls 14.0% 14.2% 14.7% 14.6% 15.4% 12.6% 10.9% 3.6%
Spencer Cartwright 17.9% 15.6% 16.1% 14.8% 14.0% 11.3% 7.8% 2.5%
Samuel Merson 10.8% 9.7% 12.5% 11.9% 14.8% 17.6% 15.1% 7.6%
Aili Moffet 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 4.4% 8.6% 15.6% 60.2%
Gage Schoenherr 16.8% 18.2% 14.5% 18.3% 13.0% 8.6% 8.4% 2.2%
Colleen O'Brien 16.9% 16.7% 15.0% 14.0% 12.5% 13.4% 8.7% 2.8%
Alex Bowdler 5.4% 6.5% 6.7% 8.1% 13.0% 16.8% 24.9% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.