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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+2.72vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.66vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+0.01vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-1.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61-1.43vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.11-0.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Brown University3.040.2%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.2%1st Place
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3.71Roger Williams University3.090.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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3.79Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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4.57Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.93Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 16.5% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 17.1% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 18.1% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 3.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.8% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 7.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 61.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 26.9% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.